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Red110
942530.7
791546.7
1052219.5
Blue168
9345.6
53740.5
665133.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63159050100200250110168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+46
Endgame+36
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points14
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
11Coral scored#22
40Coral points79
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
18Processor points24
20Net points16
38Algae points40
78Total teleop119
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points22
110Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7915
#23
46.73.0
30.733.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
red by 1.2
93
#5
45.60.0
43.843.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
Second
9425
#33
30.73.0
15.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
blue by 9.8
537
#14
40.50.0
48.848.8
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Third
19.53.0
16.819.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 13.4
6651
#25
33.00.0
34.334.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned