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Red149
878214.4
622356.4
125949.4
Blue70
514822.4
341815.8
664324.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197305010015020014970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+71Teleop
+85Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
24Coral scored#8
86Coral points27
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
110Total teleop53
Reef
11L4#3
8L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points6
149Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.42.5
49.552.0
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
red by 31.9
6643
#38
24.50.8
23.122.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Second
1259
#12
49.42.5
36.939.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
red by 27.0
5148
#44
22.40.8
21.220.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Third
8782
#41
14.44.2
12.416.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 1.4
3418
#37
15.80.9
21.920.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned