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Red124
478724.6
130651.1
373428.1
Blue77
359620.9
219443.6
235827.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124110608010014016018020012477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
22Coral scored#9
78Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
92Total teleop47
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
124Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#10
51.10.1
45.945.9
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
red by 7.5
2194
#22
43.62.6
40.537.9
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
Second
3734
#19
28.10.1
27.527.6
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 1.0
27.12.6
28.425.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Third
4787
#30
24.60.1
27.727.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.9
red by 3.7
3596
#36
20.92.6
23.921.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned