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Red97
509618.1
250650.1
179251.0
Blue147
478656.9
204044.6
802918.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412110011013014015097147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+22
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
62Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points28
97Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#16
51.00.9
49.148.1
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
blue by 5.9
56.90.7
50.050.7
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
Second
50.10.9
40.439.5
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
red by 5.5
44.60.7
39.039.7
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
Third
5096
#34
18.11.5
21.319.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 0.7
8029
#43
18.80.7
19.019.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed