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Red181
167535.1
93047.1
942530.7
Blue182
125949.4
664324.5
853131.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117120100140160180181182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#28
88Coral points100
4Processor algae#5
8Net algae#4
24Processor points30
32Net points16
56Algae points46
144Total teleop146
Reef
7L4#9
11L3#8
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
181Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#20
47.12.9
38.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
blue by 2.4
1259
#12
49.43.3
39.743.0
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
Second
1675
#35
35.12.9
33.035.9
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
red by 3.2
8531
#31
31.83.3
29.332.6
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.0
Third
9425
#33
30.74.9
20.825.7
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
red by 6.2
6643
#38
24.53.3
21.224.5
Auto4.9
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned