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Red127
282641.2
880231.9
1052219.5
Blue125
1028731.1
623741.3
809620.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001076080120140160127125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+10
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
15Coral scored#23
54Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
88Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
127Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.2
31.532.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
blue by 0.1
6237
#17
41.30.9
38.739.6
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
Second
8802
#28
31.92.1
30.933.0
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
red by 0.8
31.11.5
30.231.7
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
Third
19.52.1
23.025.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 0.8
8096
#39
20.40.9
20.821.6
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed