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Red132
884728.6
162560.8
514822.4
Blue127
283036.5
657454.9
270433.8
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912090100110130140150160132127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
93Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
132Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.8
56.658.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
red by 5.9
6574
#21
54.91.3
44.345.6
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
8847
#40
28.63.0
24.627.7
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
blue by 7.9
2830
#24
36.51.3
34.535.8
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
Third
5148
#44
22.41.8
21.323.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
blue by 11.3
2704
#29
33.81.3
28.229.5
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned