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Red113
509618.1
70626.5
622356.4
Blue95
884728.6
219443.6
429626.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107110608010012014016018011395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
76Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
113Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.41.1
53.854.9
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
red by 12.8
2194
#22
43.60.1
37.937.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
Second
706
#18
26.51.1
22.423.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
blue by 2.1
8847
#40
28.60.2
27.727.5
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
Third
5096
#34
18.11.9
19.821.7
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
blue by 8.7
4296
#32
26.80.1
31.030.9
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned