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Red113
373428.1
162560.8
270433.8
Blue91
790017.7
167535.1
791546.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421045020011391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points18
26Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
18Processor points0
12Net points12
30Algae points12
83Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
113Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.7
58.457.7
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
red by 14.1
7915
#23
46.70.3
34.834.5
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Second
2704
#29
33.80.7
29.528.8
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
blue by 1.3
1675
#35
35.10.2
35.935.7
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
Third
3734
#19
28.11.2
30.429.2
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 10.5
7900
#45
17.70.2
20.119.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed