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Red111
283036.5
809620.4
878214.4
Blue160
478656.9
1028731.1
942530.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9414450200111160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
69Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
12Foul points14
111Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#24
36.50.3
35.835.5
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
blue by 20.4
56.91.1
50.751.8
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
Second
8096
#39
20.40.3
21.621.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End1.7
blue by 10.7
31.11.9
31.733.6
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
Third
8782
#41
14.40.5
18.017.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 16.3
9425
#33
30.71.9
25.727.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned