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Red143
1043016.1
173275.5
250650.1
Blue190
465569.3
125949.4
657454.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132165100150200250143190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave0
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points48
33Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +32
19Coral scored#25
68Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
86Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#9
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
143Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.51.4
68.970.3
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
red by 6.2
4655
#15
69.32.5
64.266.7
Auto17.4
Teleop44.3
End7.7
Second
50.11.4
39.540.9
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
blue by 4.8
6574
#21
54.92.5
45.648.1
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Third
16.12.3
13.515.9
Auto2.1
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 33.4
1259
#12
49.42.5
43.045.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned