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Red136
220244.9
282641.2
179251.0
Blue49
207724.5
341815.8
1052219.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507105010020013649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+87Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +70
22Coral scored#7
78Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
102Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
9L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
136Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#16
51.00.6
50.551.1
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
red by 26.5
2077
#46
24.51.5
26.024.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
44.90.6
41.341.8
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
red by 25.4
19.52.4
25.122.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
41.20.6
32.833.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
red by 25.3
3418
#37
15.81.5
16.815.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed