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Red122
942530.7
373428.1
204044.6
Blue103
976015.8
283036.5
1028731.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211350100150200122103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
87Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points0
122Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.2
42.142.3
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
red by 8.1
2830
#24
36.50.1
35.535.4
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
Second
9425
#33
30.70.3
27.627.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
blue by 0.4
31.10.2
33.633.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.5
End2.3
Third
3734
#19
28.10.3
29.229.5
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End1.4
red by 12.4
9760
#42
15.80.2
18.017.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed