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Red57
802918.8
809620.4
429626.8
Blue104
270433.8
791546.7
878214.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410020406012014016057104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
17Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
36Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#3
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points2
57Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4296
#32
26.81.3
30.929.6
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 20.0
7915
#23
46.71.6
34.536.1
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Second
8096
#39
20.41.3
21.320.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.0
End1.7
blue by 13.4
2704
#29
33.81.0
28.829.8
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
Third
8029
#43
18.81.3
19.618.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
red by 4.3
8782
#41
14.41.6
17.519.1
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned