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Red113
235827.1
70626.5
623741.3
Blue75
790017.7
359620.9
874446.3
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610105015020025011375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
19Coral scored#8
67Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
81Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#2
5L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
113Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6237
#17
41.30.3
38.138.4
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
blue by 5.0
8744
#11
46.32.4
46.544.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
Second
27.10.3
25.125.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 6.2
3596
#36
20.92.4
21.719.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
Third
706
#18
26.50.3
23.623.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 8.8
7900
#45
17.72.4
19.917.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed