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Red147
664324.5
478656.9
130651.1
Blue154
53740.5
250650.1
657454.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314302004006008001,0001,200147154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
94Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
147Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.91.6
51.853.5
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
red by 2.0
6574
#21
54.91.6
48.149.7
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
1306
#10
51.11.6
46.347.9
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
red by 1.0
50.11.6
40.942.5
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Third
6643
#38
24.51.6
24.326.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.2
End0.4
blue by 16.0
537
#14
40.51.6
41.042.6
Auto5.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned