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Qual 612025 Wisconsin Regional presented by GE HealthCare
Red172
853131.8
9345.6
282641.2
Blue151
465569.3
509618.1
880231.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134149050100200250300350400172151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +27
26Coral scored#24
93Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
137Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#10
10L3#10
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
172Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#5
45.62.2
42.9→45.1
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
blue by 23.7
4655
#15
69.30.1
66.7→66.8
Auto17.4
Teleop44.3
End7.7
Second
2826
#2
41.22.2
33.4→35.6
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
red by 9.3
8802
#28
31.90.2
30.5→30.7
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
Third
8531
#31
31.82.2
30.7→33.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.0
red by 13.7
5096
#34
18.10.2
21.7→21.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned