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Red120
884728.6
125949.4
93047.1
Blue82
1052219.5
167535.1
219443.6
83%Model gave it17%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371085015020012082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
77Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
120Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#12
49.40.2
45.545.7
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
red by 5.8
2194
#22
43.60.9
37.836.9
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
Second
930
#20
47.10.2
43.743.9
Auto11.5
Teleop30.9
End4.6
red by 12.0
1675
#35
35.10.9
35.734.8
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
Third
8847
#40
28.60.4
27.527.8
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
red by 9.0
19.51.5
22.721.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned