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Red114
623741.3
429626.8
622356.4
Blue127
250650.1
942530.7
162560.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13815150100200250114127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
81Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#10
8L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
114Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.40.5
54.053.5
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
blue by 4.4
60.80.0
56.856.8
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
Second
6237
#17
41.30.5
38.437.9
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
blue by 8.8
50.10.0
42.542.5
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Third
4296
#32
26.80.5
29.629.0
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 3.9
9425
#33
30.70.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned