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Red108
622356.4
283036.5
235827.1
Blue100
623741.3
1052219.5
173275.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123125100105110115120130135140108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
68Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
8Foul points0
108Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.40.7
49.448.7
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
blue by 19.1
75.50.7
62.561.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
Second
2830
#24
36.50.9
36.435.5
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
blue by 4.8
6237
#17
41.30.7
29.929.2
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
Third
27.10.7
24.323.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
red by 7.6
19.52.9
19.516.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned