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Red114
665133.0
514822.4
219443.6
Blue198
282641.2
204044.6
465569.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9515850200250114198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+64
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
14Coral scored#26
49Coral points95
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
87Total teleop137
Reef
7L4#12
6L3#11
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
114Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#22
43.60.6
39.039.6
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
blue by 25.7
4655
#15
69.33.0
64.667.6
Auto17.4
Teleop44.3
End7.7
Second
6651
#25
33.00.6
32.333.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End1.0
blue by 11.6
44.63.0
40.543.5
Auto9.5
Teleop28.8
End6.3
Third
5148
#44
22.40.6
21.822.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.7
blue by 18.8
41.23.0
36.539.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned