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Red80
1052219.5
179251.0
976015.8
Blue141
250650.1
130651.1
70626.5
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931425020080141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +39
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
6Processor points6
12Net points28
18Algae points34
57Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points0
80Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#16
51.01.3
49.848.5
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
blue by 0.1
1306
#10
51.10.7
49.350.0
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
Second
19.51.7
21.319.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 30.6
50.10.7
45.446.1
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Third
9760
#42
15.81.6
17.315.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 10.8
706
#18
26.50.7
24.124.8
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned