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Red184
179251.0
270433.8
162560.8
Blue183
657454.9
250650.1
219443.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153153120130140160170180190200184183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
33Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +6
26Coral scored#28
93Coral points99
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
127Total teleop133
Reef
15L4#16
6L3#9
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
184Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.80.9
60.561.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
red by 5.9
6574
#21
54.90.8
54.154.9
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
1792
#16
51.00.9
50.751.6
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
red by 0.9
50.10.8
49.350.1
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Third
2704
#29
33.80.9
33.534.4
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5
blue by 9.9
2194
#22
43.60.8
42.843.6
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3