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Red207
283036.5
173275.5
478656.9
Blue151
179251.0
270433.8
162560.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180154100200250207151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#22
84Coral points78
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
132Total teleop100
Reef
15L4#13
10L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
207Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.50.9
74.275.1
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
red by 14.7
60.80.1
61.461.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
Second
56.90.9
55.656.5
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
red by 5.9
1792
#16
51.00.1
51.651.7
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
Third
2830
#24
36.50.9
35.236.1
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
red by 2.8
2704
#29
33.80.1
34.434.4
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5