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Red131
9345.6
167535.1
874446.3
Blue180
622356.4
235827.1
791546.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136133100110120140150160170180131180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
12Processor points18
24Net points28
36Algae points46
91Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points4
131Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
46.30.1
45.545.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
blue by 10.1
6223
#13
56.41.2
54.055.2
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
Second
93
#5
45.60.1
44.844.9
Auto8.3
Teleop30.9
End6.3
blue by 1.2
7915
#23
46.71.5
43.845.2
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Third
1675
#35
35.10.1
34.234.4
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End6.7
red by 7.9
27.11.2
24.725.9
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2