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Red176
70626.5
465569.3
282641.2
Blue190
657454.9
250650.1
219443.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421470200400600800176190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
8Coral scored#6
40Coral points31
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +4
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#11
12Processor points12
24Net points44
36Algae points56
120Total teleop124
Reef
16L4#7
6L3#9
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
176Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#15
69.31.0
67.668.6
Auto17.4
Teleop44.3
End7.7
red by 14.4
6574
#21
54.91.1
50.952.1
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
Second
41.21.0
39.540.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
blue by 8.9
50.11.1
46.147.3
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
Third
706
#18
26.51.0
24.825.8
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End4.2
blue by 17.1
2194
#22
43.61.1
39.640.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3