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Red151
220244.9
125949.4
623741.3
Blue157
179251.0
270433.8
162560.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152150120140160180200151157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+26
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
20Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#23
63Coral points81
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#2
12Processor points24
32Net points8
44Algae points32
107Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#9
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#35
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
151Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#12
49.40.4
48.148.6
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
blue by 11.4
60.80.4
58.358.8
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
Second
44.90.4
43.644.1
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
blue by 6.1
1792
#16
51.00.4
48.549.0
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End5.8
Third
6237
#17
41.30.4
40.040.5
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
red by 7.6
2704
#29
33.80.4
31.331.7
Auto7.6
Teleop25.7
End0.5