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Red155
622356.4
235827.1
791546.7
Blue140
220244.9
125949.4
623741.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13915280100120160180200220240155140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
32Coral points30
32Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
97Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#6
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
155Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#13
56.40.6
55.856.4
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
red by 7.0
1259
#12
49.40.1
49.349.4
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End6.9
Second
7915
#23
46.70.7
46.046.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
red by 1.8
44.90.1
44.844.9
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
Third
27.10.6
26.527.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2
blue by 14.2
6237
#17
41.30.1
41.241.3
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2