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Red91
602425.7
229038.7
122030.4
Blue119
93034.5
460765.2
179239.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7813805010015020025091119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points31
33Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
52Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points4
91Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2290
#12
38.71.1
31.632.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
blue by 26.5
65.20.5
47.947.4
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
Second
1220
#25
30.41.6
23.024.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
blue by 8.9
39.30.8
34.233.4
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Third
6024
#38
25.71.0
22.022.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 8.8
930
#22
34.50.8
39.939.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned