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Red124
694733.1
593447.3
638134.0
Blue77
206224.1
631740.1
599324.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106805010015012477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
77Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points2
124Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.6
38.039.6
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
red by 7.2
6317
#15
40.10.5
34.735.2
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
6381
#16
34.01.6
33.835.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
red by 9.7
5993
#39
24.30.8
17.618.4
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
Third
6947
#21
33.11.6
26.628.2
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 9.0
2062
#34
24.10.5
15.315.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed