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Red80
616619.4
171448.8
1026415.5
Blue54
664321.9
790022.9
318433.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73705560657580858054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
58Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
80Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#10
48.81.1
34.235.3
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
red by 15.6
3184
#18
33.30.6
25.224.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Second
6166
#19
19.41.1
10.811.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 3.4
7900
#30
22.91.0
21.220.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Third
15.51.5
21.923.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 6.4
6643
#31
21.91.0
16.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed