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Red114
478642.9
335438.0
369221.8
Blue137
870135.6
173262.5
220234.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86123050100150200114137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
94Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#10
7L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points8
114Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
42.92.8
31.334.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
blue by 19.6
62.51.1
53.154.2
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
Second
3354
#20
38.01.7
27.429.1
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
red by 2.4
8701
#13
35.61.1
23.224.2
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
Third
3692
#27
21.82.0
21.823.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
blue by 12.2
2202
#14
34.01.5
31.132.6
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned