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Red144
460765.2
514823.9
130638.2
Blue140
253070.8
93034.5
631832.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410780100120140160144140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +2
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
102Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#9
9L3#3
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
144Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.24.0
43.847.9
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
blue by 5.6
70.84.1
39.143.2
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
Second
1306
#29
38.24.0
30.634.7
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 3.8
930
#22
34.54.1
35.839.9
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Third
5148
#35
23.94.0
17.421.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 8.8
6318
#23
32.73.0
19.222.2
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned