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Red132
602425.7
109119.5
463566.7
Blue79
940148.8
1055318.3
694733.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010440608012014016018013279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+51Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +39
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
83Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
8Foul points6
132Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.72.5
53.255.6
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 17.9
48.81.6
40.739.1
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Second
6024
#38
25.72.7
19.222.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 7.4
6947
#21
33.11.5
28.126.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Third
1091
#26
19.53.0
14.617.6
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
red by 1.1
18.32.4
26.123.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed