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Red102
638134.0
207727.2
622349.4
Blue113
122030.4
657441.6
593447.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8899406080120140102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
61Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
102Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.42.2
28.530.7
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
red by 2.1
47.31.6
36.438.0
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Second
6381
#16
34.01.3
32.433.8
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
blue by 7.6
41.61.8
34.135.9
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
Third
2077
#17
27.22.2
19.021.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
blue by 3.2
1220
#25
30.42.4
20.623.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned