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Red122
790022.9
870135.6
460765.2
Blue75
616619.4
870019.8
694733.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10651015012275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
96Total teleop50
Reef
11L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
122Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.4
47.448.8
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 32.1
6947
#21
33.10.9
28.229.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Second
8701
#13
35.61.6
24.225.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
red by 15.8
8700
#36
19.80.9
15.616.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
7900
#30
22.92.4
20.222.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
red by 3.4
6166
#19
19.41.0
11.912.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned