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Red123
657441.6
631740.1
93034.5
Blue107
173262.5
602425.7
206224.1
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126102406080140160180200123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+10
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#17
33Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
61Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
123Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
37.938.2
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
blue by 20.9
62.50.9
54.055.0
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
Second
6317
#15
40.10.3
35.235.5
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 14.5
6024
#38
25.70.9
22.923.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Third
930
#22
34.50.5
39.139.6
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 10.4
2062
#34
24.10.9
15.916.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed