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Red101
220234.0
229038.7
318433.3
Blue94
122030.4
463566.7
599324.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100111608012014016018010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
18Foul points0
101Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2290
#12
38.70.6
32.732.1
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
blue by 28.0
66.70.5
58.558.0
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
Second
2202
#14
34.01.0
33.132.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
red by 3.6
1220
#25
30.40.8
24.623.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Third
3184
#18
33.30.6
26.425.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
red by 9.0
5993
#39
24.30.8
18.417.5
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned