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Red109
369221.8
130638.2
469324.2
Blue116
622349.4
664321.9
179239.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90105050150200250109116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
93Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
109Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#29
38.21.5
35.036.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
blue by 11.2
49.42.5
35.538.0
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
Second
4693
#32
24.21.5
23.424.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
blue by 15.1
39.32.5
33.435.9
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Third
3692
#27
21.81.5
19.721.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Level
6643
#31
21.92.5
18.521.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned