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Red87
642140.8
1026415.5
335438.0
Blue82
638134.0
478642.9
631832.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891100501001502008782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
55Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
87Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#24
40.80.2
36.036.2
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
blue by 2.0
4786
#11
42.92.0
37.635.6
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
3354
#20
38.00.2
30.730.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
red by 4.0
6381
#16
34.01.2
35.434.1
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
Third
15.50.3
17.117.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 17.2
6318
#23
32.71.2
25.424.2
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned