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Red176
593447.3
253070.8
870135.6
Blue49
790022.9
109119.5
514823.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266205010015020017649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+107Teleop
+127Endgame
+127Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +83
25Coral scored#7
89Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
117Total teleop34
Reef
9L4#2
12L3#3
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#9
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +127
0Foul points0
176Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.87.1
46.753.8
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
red by 46.9
5148
#35
23.91.0
23.322.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
47.34.3
39.643.9
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
red by 24.4
7900
#30
22.91.6
22.520.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Third
8701
#13
35.64.3
25.830.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
red by 16.1
1091
#26
19.51.0
18.017.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed