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Red101
616619.4
207727.2
940148.8
Blue95
1055318.3
171448.8
741728.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849720406012014016018010195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
71Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
101Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.9
40.841.7
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
blue by 0.1
1714
#10
48.80.5
37.336.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
2077
#17
27.21.5
24.726.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
blue by 1.3
7417
#28
28.60.5
30.129.6
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
6166
#19
19.40.9
12.913.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
red by 1.1
18.30.8
17.416.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed