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Red88
741728.6
642140.8
206224.1
Blue123
173262.5
460765.2
694733.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851515010020088123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +29
3Leave0
3Coral scored#10
16Coral points48
19Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
61Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#8
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
88Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#24
40.80.1
33.733.8
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
blue by 24.4
65.21.3
45.143.8
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
Second
7417
#28
28.60.1
29.429.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
blue by 34.0
62.51.3
54.453.1
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
Third
2062
#34
24.10.1
13.413.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
blue by 9.0
6947
#21
33.11.1
29.128.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed