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Red75
207727.2
657441.6
664321.9
Blue67
229038.7
599324.3
870135.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75822040601001207567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
75Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.7
33.434.1
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
red by 2.9
2290
#12
38.70.5
31.130.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
Second
2077
#17
27.20.9
18.119.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
blue by 8.3
8701
#13
35.60.5
23.623.2
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
Third
6643
#31
21.90.9
15.716.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
blue by 2.4
5993
#39
24.30.6
17.516.9
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed