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Red104
1026415.5
622349.4
109119.5
Blue138
790022.9
940148.8
463566.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471290100150200104138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
61Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
8Foul points6
104Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.44.1
24.428.5
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
blue by 17.2
66.71.0
52.153.2
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
Second
1091
#26
19.53.3
11.314.6
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
blue by 29.3
48.81.2
39.540.7
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Third
15.56.4
15.521.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 7.4
7900
#30
22.91.7
19.421.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned