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Red110
460765.2
631832.7
369221.8
Blue96
318433.3
109119.5
171448.8
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109875010015020011096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
69Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points0
110Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.4
48.849.1
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 16.4
1714
#10
48.81.0
36.837.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
6318
#23
32.70.4
25.626.0
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
blue by 0.6
3184
#18
33.31.0
25.826.8
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Third
3692
#27
21.80.4
22.122.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
red by 2.4
1091
#26
19.51.0
17.919.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed