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Red78
694733.1
741728.6
220234.0
Blue49
469324.2
122030.4
1026415.5
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108740501507849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+31Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
46Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
78Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
34.01.8
30.628.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
red by 3.6
1220
#25
30.42.7
22.619.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Second
6947
#21
33.11.1
27.326.2
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 8.9
4693
#32
24.21.6
25.924.3
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Third
7417
#28
28.61.1
27.526.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
red by 13.1
15.52.7
18.515.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed