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Red77
602425.7
593447.3
1055318.3
Blue79
229038.7
664321.9
631832.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918140601001201407779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#5
6Processor points0
4Net points20
10Algae points20
48Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
77Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.6
45.945.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
red by 8.6
2290
#12
38.70.0
32.932.9
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
Second
6024
#38
25.70.6
22.622.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 7.0
6318
#23
32.70.0
26.026.0
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
Third
18.30.9
16.915.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 3.5
6643
#31
21.90.0
20.420.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed