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Red126
870019.8
622349.4
171448.8
Blue62
109119.5
206224.1
207727.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026420408012014016012662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+34Teleop
+56Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
63Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
8Foul points0
126Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.43.0
33.937.0
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
red by 22.2
2077
#17
27.20.4
27.326.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
Second
1714
#10
48.81.8
38.940.7
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
red by 24.8
2062
#34
24.10.3
19.719.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Third
8700
#36
19.81.8
17.719.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
red by 0.3
1091
#26
19.50.3
19.018.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed