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Red94
173262.5
638134.0
790022.9
Blue150
130638.2
253070.8
642140.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12314210016018020094150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+60
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +45
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
49Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#9
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points2
94Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.51.8
58.156.3
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
blue by 8.3
70.81.7
59.360.9
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
Second
6381
#16
34.01.8
32.230.5
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
blue by 6.9
6421
#24
40.81.0
36.337.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
Third
7900
#30
22.93.0
24.421.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 15.4
1306
#29
38.21.0
37.438.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned